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AI Leaders Warn: Half of Entry-Level Jobs Could Disappear by 2030

Artificial intelligence is moving fast. Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei and former Google executive Mo Gawdat warn that software could erase half of entry-level office jobs by 2030.

The World Economic Forum projects a seven-percent gain in employment globally this decade, yet its own charts show almost all new roles clustering in data, digital finance, and machine-learning, while clerks, cashiers, and other beginner posts shrink.

A Stanford study confirms the squeeze: workers aged twenty-two to twenty-five in the most AI-exposed occupations already face a thirteen-percent employment drop even as total hiring rises elsewhere.

Companies from Robinhood to tiny startups illustrate the trend—small teams now build products that once required armies of coders, designers, and translators, slashing cost and time.

Productivity—the amount produced per work hour—keeps climbing, meaning fewer people can generate the same value.

Early-career workers look like canaries in a coal mine, signalling bigger job shifts that governments still under-estimate.

KEY POINTS

  • Half of today’s entry-level office jobs could vanish by 2030, according to leading AI voices.

  • Most new positions demand specialised AI skills, while routine clerical roles steadily decline.

  • Young workers already feel the hit: employment for 22- to 25-year-olds in AI-heavy jobs is down 13 percent despite overall hiring growth.

Losing beginner jobs leaves new graduates without a clear first step into the workforce. If the only growth areas require advanced tech skills, many people may be shut out of stable careers. Policymakers, schools, and companies need to plan retraining and safety nets now, before the gap widens and social stress grows.

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